Evaluation of Spatial-Temporal Variability of Drought Events in Iran Using Palmer Drought Severity Index and Its Principal Factors (through 1951-2005) — Oak Academic Publishing
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Evaluation of Spatial-Temporal Variability of Drought Events in Iran Using Palmer Drought Severity Index and Its Principal Factors (through 1951-2005)
Atmospheric Sciences and Meteorological Research Centre (ASMERC), Tehran, Iran
,
Atmospheric Sciences and Meteorological Research Centre (ASMERC), Tehran, Iran
1 Atmospheric Sciences and Meteorological Research Centre (ASMERC), Tehran, Iran
2 Atmospheric Sciences and Meteorological Research Centre (ASMERC), Tehran, Iran
Intensity and variability of droughts are considered inIranduring the period 1951 to 2005. Four variables are consid ered: the Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI), the soil moisture, the temperature and the precipitation (products used for the analysis are downloaded from the NCAR website). Link with the climatic indexLa Ninais also considered (NOAA downloadable products is used). The analysis is based on basic statistical approaches (correlation, linear re gressions and Principal Component Analysis). The analysis shows that PDSI is highly correlated to the soil moisture and poorly correlated to the other variables—although the temperature in the warm season shows high correlation to the PDSI and that a severe drought was experienced during 1999-2002 inthe country.
KeywordsIntensity and Variability of DroughtsPalmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI)Basic Statistical ApproachesLa NinaIran
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