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Mathematical Model of the Spread of the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) in Burkina Faso
Département de Mathématiques, UFR des Sciences et Techniques Université Nazi Boni de Bobo Dioulasso, Bobo Dioulasso, Burkina Faso
LAboratoire de Mathématiques et Informatique (LAMI), Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso
Département de Mathématiques, UFR des Sciences Exactes et Appliquées Université Joseph Ki Zerbo, Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso
- 1 Département de Mathématiques, UFR des Sciences et Techniques Université Nazi Boni de Bobo Dioulasso, Bobo Dioulasso, Burkina Faso
- 2 LAboratoire de Mathématiques et Informatique (LAMI), Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso
- 3 Département de Mathématiques, UFR des Sciences Exactes et Appliquées Université Joseph Ki Zerbo, Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso
Applied Mathematics·Volume 11 (2020)·Pages 1204–1218·Published 2 November 2020·DOI10.4236/am.2020.1111082
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Abstract
In this paper, we develop a mathematical model of the COVID-19 pandemic in Burkina Faso. We use real data from Burkina Faso National Health Commission against COVID-19 to predict the dynamic of the disease and also the cumulative number of reported cases. We use public policies in model in order to reduce the contact rate, this allows to show how the reduction of the daily report of infectious cases goes, so we would like to draw the attention of decision makers for a rapid treatment of reported cases.
KeywordsCOVID-19StatisticsDataExposed PersonReported and Unreported CasesMathematical ModelPublic PoliciesBasic Reproduction NumberPrediction
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