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The Chinese Urban and Rural per Capita Income and Trend Analysis
College of Science, Guilin University of Technology, Guilin, China
College of Science, Guilin University of Technology, Guilin, China
- 1 College of Science, Guilin University of Technology, Guilin, China
- 2 College of Science, Guilin University of Technology, Guilin, China
Applied Mathematics·Volume 05 (2013)·Pages 106–109·Published 25 December 2013·DOI10.4236/am.2014.51012
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Abstract
This paper uses the ARMA model method to fit the data of the urban and the rural residents ’ per capita income in China and builds the MA(2) and AR(2) model. With the model , this paper predicts their trends in 5 years, also uses the prediction to analyze the income gap. The results show that in the next 5 years, the rural and the urban r esidents ’ per capita income will be increasing stead ily , but the level remains very low, the income gap is still large.
KeywordsPer Capita IncomeIncome GapARMA Model
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