Estimation of Stochastic Volatility with a Compensated Poisson Jump Using Quadratic Variation
- 1 Department of Mathematics, Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology (KNUST), Kumasi, Ghana
- 2 Department of Mathematics, Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology (KNUST), Kumasi, Ghana
- 3 Department of Actuarial Science, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
Abstract
The degree of variation of trading prices with respect to time is volatility-measured by the standard deviation of returns. We present the estimation of stochastic volatility from the stochastic differential equation for evenly spaced data. We indicate that, the price process is driven by a semi-martingale and the data are evenly spaced. The results of Malliavin and Mancino [1] are extended by adding a compensated poisson jump that uses a quadratic variation to calculate volatility. The volatility is computed from a daily data without assuming its functional form. Our result is well suited for financial market applications and in particular the analysis of high frequency data for the computation of volatility.
- Malliavin, P. and Mancino, M.E. (2009) A Fourier Transform Method for Nonparametric Estimation of Multivariate Volatility. Annals of Statistics, 37, 1983-2010. https://doi.org/10.1214/08-AOS633
- Ibbotson, R.G. (2011) Why Does Market Volatility Matter? Yale School of Management, Yale School of Management.
- Black, F. and Scholes, M. (1973) Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities. Journal of Political Economy, 81, 637-654. https://doi.org/10.1086/260062
- Andersen, T.G., Bollerslev, T. and Diebold, F.X. (2002) Parametric and Nonparametric Volatility Measurement. NBER Technical Working Paper, 279.
- Barucci, E. and Reno, R. (2002) On Measuring Volatility and the GARCH Forecasting Performance. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 12, 183-200.
- Andersen, T.G., Bollerslev, T., Diebold, F.X. and Labys, P. (2001) The Distribution of Realized Exchange Rate Volatility. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 96, 42-55.
- Barndorff-Nielsen, O.E. and Shephard, N. (2002) Econometric Analysis of Realized Volatility and Its Use in Estimating Stochastic Volatility Models. Royal Statistical Society, 64, 253-280.
- Zhang, L., Mykland, P.A. and Ait-Sahalia, Y. (2005) A Tale of Two Time Scales: Determining Integrated Volatility with Noisy High-Frequency Data. American Statistical Association, Theory and Methods, 100, 1394-1411.
- Large, J. (2007) Estimating Quadratic Variation When Quoted Prices Change by a Constant Increment. University of Oxford, Oxford.
- Alvarez, A., Panloup, F. and Savy, N. (2010) Estimation of the Instantaneous Volatility. American Mathematical Society. http://www.arxiv.org/abs/0812.3538v4
- Zu, Y. and Boswijk, H.P. (2013) Estimating Spot Volatility with High-Frequency Financial Data. Discussion Paper Series.
- Comte, F. and Renault, E. (1998) Long Memory in Continuous Time Stochastic Volatility. Mathematical Finance, 8, 4 291-323.
- Foster, D.P. and Nelson, D.B. (1996) Continuous Record Asymptotics for Rolling Sample Variance Estimators. Econometrica, 64, 139-174. https://doi.org/10.2307/2171927
- Mykland, P.A. and Zhang, L. (2006) ANOVA for Diffusions and Ito Processes. The Annals of Statistics, 34, 1931-1963.
- Andreou, E. and Ghysels, E. (2002) Rolling-Sample Volatility Estimators: Some New Theoretical, Simulation, and Empirical Results. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 20, 363-376. http://www.jstor.org/stable/1392123 https://doi.org/10.1198/073500102288618504