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Peaks over Manifold (POM): A Novel Technique to Analyze Extreme Events over Surfaces
CURE, Rocha, Uruguay
CURE, Rocha, Uruguay
- 1 CURE, Rocha, Uruguay
- 2 CURE, Rocha, Uruguay
Advances in Pure Mathematics·Volume 12 (2022)·Pages 48–62·Published 25 January 2022·DOI10.4236/apm.2022.121004
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Abstract
We present a novel method to analyze extreme events of flows over manifolds called Peaks Over Manifold (POM). Here we show that under general and realistic hypotheses, the distribution of affectation measures converges to a Generalized Pareto Distribution (GPD). The method is applicable to floods, ice cover extent, extreme rainfall or marine heatwaves. We present an application to a synthetic data set on tide height and to real ice cover data in Antartica.
KeywordsPeaks Over Thresholds (POT)Generalized Pareto DistributionExtreme Events
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