Tobacco is an essential cash crop in Zimbabwe and a strategic livelihood option for hundreds of thousands of rural households. However, the crop is linked to negative environmental, economic, and social impacts. The existing studies on tobacco cultivation in Zimbabwe present contradictory findings on the determinants and impacts of adoption, leaving unanswered questions about the crop’s sustainability impact in the country. This article investigates the determinants of smallholder farmers’ decisions to grow tobacco and the associated impacts of adoption. Random and purposive sampling were used to select 273 household surveys, including tobacco and non-tobacco smallholder farmers, and 56 expert interviews to answer the research questions. We employed regression models alongside expert interviews and document analysis to identify the determinants influencing the decision-making process of smallholder farmers in Zimbabwe regarding tobacco cultivation. Additionally, our investigation aimed to elucidate the perceived impacts associated with the adoption of this agricultural practice. The regression analysis indicated that the farmer’s age, education level, farming experience, family size, household income, and perceived high farm profitability are significant drivers of tobacco adoption. We also discovered divergent and convergent perceptions of the critical impacts of tobacco cultivation. The study highlights the need for proactive multi-stakeholder collaboration and sustainable financial arrangements to address the negative impacts of tobacco production. As the primary stakeholder responsible for regulating and promoting agricultural activities, the Zimbabwean government should provide meaningful financial support, increase access to credit, and ensure better market facilities for alternative crops to reduce the over-dependence on tobacco.
KeywordsTobacco CultivationDeterminants of AdoptionSustainability ImpactsEconomic LivelihoodStakeholder Perceptions
Roessler, P., Pengl, Y.I., Marty, R., Sorlie Titlow, K. and Van De Walle, N. (2022) The Cash Crop Revolution, Colonialism and Economic Reorganization in Africa. World Development , 158, Article ID: 105934. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2022.105934
Shuichi, O. (2017) Preface to the Special Issue “Food and Land in Economic Differentiation of Sub-Saharan Africa”. I Economic Differentiation: From ‘Africa Rising’ to ‘Africa Diverging’ II Food Production: Do Self-Sufficient Farmers Mean Self-dependency or Poverty? III Land Tenure: Land for Livelihood versus Market Oriented Property IV Focus of the Special Issue: Difficulties and Potentials in Sub-Saharan Africa. Japanese Journal of Human Geography , 69, 1-8. https://doi.org/10.4200/jjhg.69.01_001
Dompreh, E.B., Asare, R. and Gasparatos, A. (2021) Stakeholder Perceptions about the Drivers, Impacts and Barriers of Certification in the Ghanaian Cocoa and Oil Palm Sectors. Sustainability Science , 16, 2101-2122. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11625-021-01027-5
Li, J., et al. (2018) Exploring the Socioeconomic and Ecological Consequences of Cash Crop Cultivation for Policy Implications. Land Use Policy , 76, 46-57. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2018.04.009
Sacchetto, C. (2012) Impact of Tobacco-Growing on Deforestation. UNITAB and FETRATAB.
Masvongo, J., Mutambara, J. and Zvinavashe, A. (2013) Viability of Tobacco Production under Smallholder Farming Sector in Mount Darwin District, Zimbabwe. Journal of Development and Agricultural Economics , 5, 295-301. https://doi.org/10.5897/JDAE12.128
Appau, A., et al. (2020) Explaining Why Farmers Grow Tobacco: Evidence from Malawi, Kenya, and Zambia. Nicotine & Tobacco Research , 22, 2238-2245. https://doi.org/10.1093/ntr/ntz173
Geist, H.J. (2021) Tobacco and Deforestation Revisited. How to Move towards a Global Land-Use Transition? Sustainability , 13, Article 9242. https://doi.org/10.3390/su13169242
Geist, H.J. (1999) Global Assessment of Deforestation Related to Tobacco Farming. Tobacco Control , 8, 18-28. https://doi.org/10.1136/tc.8.1.18
Tobacco Industry and Marketing Board (TIMB) (2021) Tobacco Production Statistics 2021.
Ngarava, S. (2020) Impact of the Fast Track Land Reform Programme (FTLRP) on Agricultural Production: A Tobacco Success Story in Zimbabwe? Land Use Policy , 99, Article ID: 105000. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2020.105000
Lencucha, R., Drope, J., Magati, P. and Sahadewo, G.A. (2022) Tobacco Farming: Overcoming an Understated Impediment to Comprehensive Tobacco Control. T o bacco Control , 31, 308-312. https://doi.org/10.1136/tobaccocontrol-2021-056564
Hu, T. and Lee, A.H. (2015) Commentary: Tobacco Control and Tobacco Farming in African Countries. J Journal of Public Health Policy , 36, 41-51. https://doi.org/10.1057/jphp.2014.47
Ruckert, A., Ciurlia, D., Labonte, R., Lencucha, R., Drope, J., Nhamo, N., et al. (2022) The Political Economy of Tobacco Production and Control in Zimbabwe: A Document Analysis. Tobacconomics , 17, 14-17. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph17124262
Manyanhaire, I.O. and Kurangwa, W. (2014) Estimation of the Impact of Tobacco Curing on Wood Resources in Zimbabwe. International Journal of Development and Sustainability , 3, 1455-1467.
Magati, P., et al. (2019) Costs, Contracts and the Narrative of Prosperity: An Economic Analysis of Smallholder Tobacco Farming Livelihoods in Kenya. Tobacco Control , 28, 268-273. https://doi.org/10.1136/tobaccocontrol-2017-054213
Scoones, I., Mavedzenge, B., Murimbarimba, F. and Sukume, C. (2018) Tobacco, Contract Farming, and Agrarian Change in Zimbabwe. Journal of Agrarian Change , 18, 22-42. https://doi.org/10.1111/joac.12210
Makoka, D., et al. (2017) Costs, Revenues and Profits: An Economic Analysis of Smallholder Tobacco Farmer Livelihoods in Malawi. Tobacco Control , 26, 634-640. https://doi.org/10.1136/tobaccocontrol-2016-053022
Granovetter, M. (2023) Economic Action and Social Structure: The Problem of Embeddedness. American Journal of Sociology , 91, 481-510. http://about.jstor.org/terms
Waluye, J. (1994) Environmental Impact of Tobacco Growing in Tabora/Urambo, Tanzania. Tobacco Control , 3, 252-254. https://doi.org/10.1136/tc.3.3.252
World Health Organization (2017) Tobacco and Its Environmental Impact: An Overview.
Jew, E.K.K., Dougill, A.J. and Sallu, S.M. (2017) Tobacco Cultivation as a Driver of Land Use Change and Degradation in the Miombo Woodlands of South-West Tanzania. Land Degradation & Development , 28, 2636-2645. https://doi.org/10.1002/ldr.2827
TIMB (2021) Tobacco Industry and Marketing Board (TIMB) Annual Report 2021.
Chivuraise, C., Chamboko, T. and Chagwiza, G. (2016)An Assessment of Factors Influencing Forest Harvesting in Smallholder Tobacco Production in Hurungwe District, Zimbabwe: An Application of Binary Logistic Regression Model. Advances in Agriculture , 2016, Article ID: 4186089. https://doi.org/10.1155/2016/4186089
Joseph, M., Abbyssinia, M. and Tawedzegwa, M. (2019) The Institutional and Socio-Economic Constraints to Smallholder Tobacco Production and Marketing in Mount Darwin District of Zimbabwe: The Value Chain Approach. Journal of Ec o nomics and Sustainable Development , 10, 85-101.
Lencucha, R., et al. (2020) The Political Economy of Tobacco in Mozambique and Zimbabwe: A Triangulation Mixed Methods Protocol. International Journal of E n vironmental Research and Publi c Health , 17, Article 4262. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph17124262
Tobacco Industry Marketing Board [TIMB] (2019) Tobacco Industry Marketing Board Annual Report 2019. Harare. https://timb.co.zw/down/AnnualReport2021.pdf
Lawrence, M., Andrew Tapiwa, K., Lovemore, M. and Michael, M. (2020) Smallholder Tobacco Farmers and Forest Conservation in Mutasa District, Zimbabwe. Ecology and Evolutionary Biology , 5, 6-12. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.eeb.20200501.12
Cochran, W.G. (1977) Sampling Techniques. 3rd Edition, John Wiley & Sons, New York, 72-83.
Bocken, N.M.P., Short, S.W., Rana, P. and Evans, S. (2014) A Literature and Practice Review to Develop Sustainable Business Model Archetypes. Journal of Cleaner Production , 65, 42-56. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2013.11.039
Fischer, D., Stanszus, L., Geiger, S., Grossman, P. and Schrader, U. (2017) Mindfulness and Sustainable Consumption: A Systematic Literature Review of Research Approaches and Findings. Journal of Cleaner Production , 162, 544-558. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2017.06.007
Miles, M.B. and Huberman, M.A. (1994) Qualitative Data Analysis: An Expanded Sourcebook. Sage Publications, Thousand Oaks.
Yigezu, Y.A., et al. (2018) Enhancing Adoption of Agricultural Technologies Requiring High Initial Investment among Smallholders. Technological Forecasting and Social Change , 134, 199-206. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2018.06.006
Lapar, M. (1999) Adoption of Soil Conservation: The Case of the Philippine uPlands. Agricultural Economics , 21, 241-256. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0169-5150(99)00028-6
Saka, J., Okoruwa, V., Lawal, B. and Ajijola, S. (2005) Adoption of Improved Rice Varieties among Small-Holder Farmers in South-Western Nigeria Institute of Agricultural Research. World Journal of Agricultural Sciences , 1, 42-49.
Carpena, F. (2016) Econ 140-Spring 2016 Section 10 Regressions with Binary Dependent Variables.
Lu, X. and White, H. (2014) Robustness Checks and Robustness Tests in Applied Economics. Journal of Econometrics , 178, 194-206. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeconom.2013.08.016
Abate, G.T., Rashid, S., Borzaga, C. and Getnet, K. (2016) Rural Finance and Agricultural Technology Adoption in Ethiopia: Does the Institutional Design of Lending Organizations Matter? World Development , 84, 235-253. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2016.03.003
Khorrami, B., Gunduz, O., Patel, N., Ghouzlane, S. and Najjar, M. (2019) Land Surface Temperature Anomalies in Response to Changes in Forest Cover. International Journal of Engineering and Geosciences , 4, 149-156. https://doi.org/10.26833/ijeg.549944
Piekutowska, M., et al. (2021) The Application of Multiple Linear Regression and Artificial Neural Network Models for Yield Prediction of Very Early Potato Cultivars before Harvest. Agronomy , 11, Article 885. https://doi.org/10.3390/agronomy11050885
Rahman, M.S. (2016) The Advantages and Disadvantages of Using Qualitative and Quantitative Approaches and Methods in Language ‘Testing and Assessment’ Research: A Literature Review. Journal of Education and Learning , 6, 102-112. https://doi.org/10.5539/jel.v6n1p102
Human Rights Watch (HRW) (2018) A Bitter Harvest Child Labor and Human Rights Abuses on Tobacco Farms in Zimbabwe. 5-6. https://www.hrw.org/report/2018/04/05/bitter-harvest/child-labor-and-human-rights-abuses-tobacco-farms-zimbabwe
Kufazvinei, C., et al. (2014) Evaluation of the Curing Efficiency of the Rocket Barn in Zimbabwe. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/320187650
Fang, J., De Souza, L., Smith, J. and Lee, K. (2020) ‘All Weather Friends’: How China Transformed Zimbabwe’s Tobacco Sector. International Journal of Enviro n mental Research and Public Health , 17, Article 723. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph17030723
Mushunje, J. and Musitini, A. (2018) Factors Influencing Smallholder Farmer Participation in Tobacco Contract Farming Arrangements in Mount Darwin District of Zimbabwe. International Journal of Sustainable Development , 7, 2986-3001.
Talukder, A., Haq, I., Ali, M. and Drope, J. (2020) Factors Associated with Cultivation of Tobacco in Bangladesh: A Multilevel Modelling Approach. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health , 17, Article 4277. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph17124277
Chavez, J.J., Drope, J., Li, Q. and Aloria, M.J. (2016) The Economics of Tobacco Farming in the Philippines. Action for Economic Reform, American Cancer Society, Quezon City, Philippines.
Opoku-Mensah, S. (2012) Logistic Analysis of Factors Motivating Smallholder Farmers to Engage in Contract Farming Arrangements with Processing Firms in Ghana. Journal of Biology , Agriculture and Healthcare , 2, 58-73.
Issa, N. and Chrysostome, N.J. (2015) Determinants of Farmer Participation in the Vertical Integration of the Rwandan Coffee Value Chain: Results from Huye District. Journal of Agricultural Science , 7, 197-211. https://doi.org/10.5539/jas.v7n9p197
Joseph, M., Abbyssinia, M. and Tawedzegwa, M. (2018) Factors Influencing Smallholder Farmer Participation in Tobacco Contract Farming Arrangements in Mount Darwin District of Zimbabwe. International Journal of Development and Sustain a bility , 10. https://doi.org/10.7176/jesd/10-10-05
Chingosho, R., Dare, C. and van Walbeek, C. (2021) Tobacco Farming and Current Debt Status among Smallholder Farmers in Manicaland Province in Zimbabwe. Tobacco Control , 30, 610-615. https://doi.org/10.1136/tobaccocontrol-2020-055825
Chimbwanda, F. and Chikukwa, H. (2013) A Simulation Analysis of Policy and Institutional Factors Affecting Grower Choice of Tobacco Marketing Arrangements in Zimbabwe. International Journal for Innovative Research Management , 5.
Mango, N., Makate, C., Tamene, L., Mponela, P. and Ndengu, G. (2018) Adoption of Small-Scale Irrigation Farming as a Climate-Smart Agriculture Practice and Its Influence on Household Income in the Chinyanja Triangle, Southern Africa. Land , 7, Article 49. https://doi.org/10.3390/land7020049
Zvobgo, L. and Tsoka, J. (2021) Deforestation Rate and Causes in Upper Manyame Sub-Catchment, Zimbabwe: Implications on Achieving National Climate Change Mitigation Targets. Trees , Forests and People , 5, Article ID: 100090. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tfp.2021.100090
Shiringo, L., Chundu, M. and Sithole, P.M. (2022) Contribution of Smallholder Tobacco Contract Farming to Economic and Human Development of Rural Communities in Zimbabwe: A Case of Igava Community, Marondera District. Open Journal of Social Sciences , 10, 36-57. https://doi.org/10.4236/jss.2022.109004
Rapsomanikis, G. (2015) Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations Rome. https://www.fao.org/publications