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Valuation Channel and Losses of Chinese External Wealth
1Financial Research Center Fudan University, Shanghai, China; 2Guangdong Ocean University, Zhanjiang Guangdong,
Financial Research Center Fudan University, Shanghai, China
1Financial Research Center Fudan University, Shanghai, China; 3China; School of Economics and Business Administration, Shanxi University, China.
- 1 1Financial Research Center Fudan University, Shanghai, China; 2Guangdong Ocean University, Zhanjiang Guangdong,
- 2 Financial Research Center Fudan University, Shanghai, China
- 3 1Financial Research Center Fudan University, Shanghai, China; 3China; School of Economics and Business Administration, Shanxi University, China.
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Abstract
Based on the intertemporal theoretical framework of Gourinchas and Rey ( 2005), using Vector Error Correction Model and time-varying Space State Model, the paper estimates the return and factors of China ’s net foreign assets. The results show that significant negative valuation effects in the change of net foreign assets and its sub-category, “risk assets”, especially at short and medium horizons. The fluctuation of assets prices arising from international financial crisis and appreciation of RMB contribute to the losses of external wealth, implying much wealth outflow to other economies.
KeywordsCapital FlowsNet Foreign AssetsValuation Effects
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