Seasonal Variation Analysis for Solar Activity Influence on “Planetarische Kennziffer” (Kp) Index during Solar Cycle 23
- 1 National Research Institute of Astronomy and Geophysics, Cairo, Egypt
- 2 National Research Institute of Astronomy and Geophysics, Cairo, Egypt
- 3 Synergy University Dubai, Dubai, United Arab Emirates
- 4 Faculty of Science, Cairo University, Giza, Egypt
- 5 Faculty of Science, Cairo University, Giza, Egypt
- 6 National Research Institute of Astronomy and Geophysics, Cairo, Egypt
- 7 Faculty of Computers and Artificial Intelligence, Cairo University, Giza, Egypt
Abstract
In this research paper, we explore how the K index changes in connection with shifts in solar activity throughout Solar Cycle 23. We examine indicators of solar activity such as sunspot numbers, radio solar flux (measured at 10.7 cm), and sunspot area to understand their impact on the K index. This study is notable for providing comprehensive information on these characteristics to offer a clearer picture of how fluctuations in solar activity relate to variations in the K index. By analyzing data from the peak of Solar Cycle 23—specifically when the sunspot area exceeds 500 micro-hemispheres—we observe a clear correlation between the F10.7 index and the Kp index. The findings demonstrate consistent associations between the Kp index and solar flux levels over time, suggesting that solar flux may serve as a reliable indicator of disturbances in Earth’s geomagnetic field. The research covers the authors’ understanding of the interaction between solar activity and geomagnetic conditions, which is crucial for predicting space weather and mitigating its effects on Earth’s technological systems. The knowledge gained from this research highlights the importance of monitoring solar flux and sunspot activity to forecast periods of heightened activity during solar cycles.
- Kane, R.P. (2002) Some Implications Using the Group Sunspot Number Reconstruction. Solar Physics , 205, 383-401. https://doi.org/10.1023/a:1014296529097
- Kane, R.P. (2005) How Good Is the Relationship of Solar and Interplanetary Plasma Parameters with Geomagnetic Storms? Journal of Geophysical Research : Space Physic s , 110, 1-13. https://doi.org/10.1029/2004ja010799
- Hathaway, D.H. (2015) The Solar Cycle. Living Reviews in Solar Physics , 12, Article No. 4. https://doi.org/10.1007/lrsp-2015-4
- Zhang, Y., Sun, W., Feng, X.S., Deehr, C.S., Fry, C.D. and Dryer, M. (2008) Statistical Analysis of Corotating Interaction Regions and Their Geoeffectiveness during Solar Cycle 23. Journal of Geophysical Research : Space Physics , 113, A08106. https://doi.org/10.1029/2008ja013095
- Alterman, B.L., Desai, M.I., Dayeh, M.A., Mason, G.M. and Ho, G. (2023) Solar Cycle Variation of 0.3-1.29 Mev Nucleon −1 Heavy Ion Composition during Quiet Times near 1 Au in Solar Cycles 23 and 24. The Astrophysical Journal , 952, Article 42. https://doi.org/10.3847/1538-4357/acd24a
- Espuña Fontcuberta, A., Ghosh, A., Chatterjee, S., Mitra, D. and Nandy, D. (2023) Forecasting Solar Cycle 25 with Physical Model-Validated Recurrent Neural Networks. Solar Physics , 298, Article No. 8. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11207-022-02104-3
- Matzka, J., Stolle, C., Yamazaki, Y., Bronkalla, O. and Morschhauser, A. (2021) The Geomagnetic Kp Index and Derived Indices of Geomagnetic Activity. Space Weather , 19, e2020SW002641. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020sw002641
- Shprits, Y.Y., Vasile, R. and Zhelavskaya, I.S. (2019) Nowcasting and Predicting the Kp Index Using Historical Values and Real-Time Observations. Space Weather , 17, 1219-1229. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018sw002141
- Chapman, S. and Ferraro, V.C.A. (1941) The Geomagnetic Ring-Current: I—Its Radial Stability. Terrestrial Magnetism and Atmospheric Electricity , 46, 1-6. https://doi.org/10.1029/te046i001p00001
- Bartels, J. (1932) Terrestrial-Magnetic Activity and Its Relations to Solar Phenomena. Terrestrial Magnetism and Atmospheric Electricity , 37, 1-52. https://doi.org/10.1029/te037i001p00001
- Tsurutani, B.T., Gonzalez, W.D., Gonzalez, A.L.C., Guarnieri, F.L., Gopalswamy, N., Grande, M., et al. (2006) Corotating Solar Wind Streams and Recurrent Geomagnetic Activity: A Review. Journal of Geophysical Research : Space Physics , 111, A07S01. https://doi.org/10.1029/2005ja011273