A Review on Clustering Methods for Climatology Analysis and Its Application over South America — Oak Academic Publishing
Research ArticleOpen AccessGoogle Scholar indexed
A Review on Clustering Methods for Climatology Analysis and Its Application over South America
Environmental Engineering Department, Institute of Science and Technology, São Paulo State University, São José dos Campos, Brazil
,
Environmental Engineering Department, Institute of Science and Technology, São Paulo State University, São José dos Campos, Brazil
,
Department of Geography, Portland State University, Portland, Oregon
,
Cemaden-National Center for Monitoring and Early Warning of Natural Disasters, General Coordination of Research and Development, São José dos Campos, Brazil
1 Environmental Engineering Department, Institute of Science and Technology, São Paulo State University, São José dos Campos, Brazil
2 Environmental Engineering Department, Institute of Science and Technology, São Paulo State University, São José dos Campos, Brazil
3 Department of Geography, Portland State University, Portland, Oregon
4 Cemaden-National Center for Monitoring and Early Warning of Natural Disasters, General Coordination of Research and Development, São José dos Campos, Brazil
South America’s climatic diversity is a product of its vast geographical expanse, encompassing tropical to subtropical latitudes. The variations in precipitation and temperature across the region stem from the influence of distinct atmospheric systems. While some studies have characterized the prevailing systems over South America, they often lacked the utilization of statistical techniques for homogenization. On the other hand, other research has employed multivariate statistical methods to identify homogeneous regions regarding temperature and precipitation, but their focus has been limited to specific areas, such as the south, southeast, and northeast. Surprisingly, there is a lack of work that compares various multivariate statistical techniques to determine homogeneous regions across the entirety of South America concerning temperature and precipitation. This paper aims to address this gap by comparing three such techniques: Cluster Analysis (K-means and Ward) and Self Organizing Maps, using data from different sources for temperature (ERA5, ERA5-Land, and CRU) and precipitation (ERA5, ERA5-Land, and CPC). Spatial patterns and time series were generated for each region over the period 1981-2010. The results from this analysis of spatially homogeneous regions concerning temperature and precipitation have the potential to significantly benefit climate analysis and forecasts. Moreover, they can offer valuable insights for various climatological studies, guiding decision-making processes in diverse fields that rely on climate information, such as agriculture, disaster management, and water resources planning.
KeywordsClimatologyClustering MethodsClustering RegionalizationReanalysis DataSouth America
Gong, X. and Richman, M.B. (1995) On the Application of Cluster Analysis to Growing Season Precipitation Data in North America East of the Rockies. Journal of Climate, 8, 897-931. https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0442(1995)008 2.0.CO;2
Wilks, D.S. (2020) Statistical Methods in the Atmospheric Sciences. International Geophysics Series, 4th Edition, Elsevier, Amsterdam.
Zhang, Z. and Li, J. (2020) Big Data Mining for Climate Change. Elsevier, Amsterdam.
Tryon, R.C. (1939) Cluster Analysis: Correlation Profile and Orthometric (Factor) Analysis for the Isolation of Unities in Mind and Personality. Edwards Brothers, Ann Arbor.
Keller-Filho, T., Assad, E.D. and Lima, P.R.S.R. (2005) Regiões pluviométricas homo-gêneas no Brasil. Pesquisa Agropecuaria Brasileira, 40, 311-322. https://doi.org/10.1590/S0100-204X2005000400001
Reboita, M.S., Gan, M.A., da Rocha, R.P. and Ambrizzi, T. (2010) Regimes de precipitação na América do Sul: Uma revisão bibliográfica. Revista Brasileira de Meteorologia, 25, 185-204. https://doi.org/10.1590/S0102-77862010000200004
Ferreira, G.W.S. and Reboita, M.S. (2022) A New Look into the South America Precipitation Regimes: Observation and Forecast. Atmosphere, 13, Article No. 873. https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos13060873
Pampuch, L.A., Drumond, A., Gimeno, L. and Ambrizzi, T. (2016) Anomalous Patterns of SST and Moisture Sources in the South Atlantic Ocean Associated with Dry Events in Southeastern Brazil. International Journal of Climatology, 36, 4913-4928. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.4679
Dourado, C.D.S., Oliveira, S.R.D.M. and Avila, A.M.H.D. (2013) Análise de zonas homogêneas em séries temporais de precipitação no Estado da Bahia. Bragantia, 72, 192-198. https://doi.org/10.1590/S0006-87052013000200012
Lyra, G.B., Oliveira-Júnior, J.F. and Zeri, M. (2014) Cluster Analysis Applied to the Spatial and Temporal Variability of Monthly Rainfall in Alagoas State, Northeast of Brazil. International Journal of Climatology, 34, 3546-3558. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.3926
Souza, A.D., Abreu, M.C., de Oliveira-Júnior, J.F., Aristone, F., Fernandes, W.A., Aviv-Sharon, E. and Graf, R. (2022) Climate Regionalization in Mato Grosso do Sul: A Combination of Hierarchical and Non-Hierarchical Clustering Analyses Based on Precipitation and Temperature. Brazilian Archives of Biology and Technology, 65, e22210331. https://doi.org/10.1590/1678-4324-2022210331
Lopes, A.R., Marcolin, J., Johann, J.A., Boas, M.A.V. and Schuelter, A.R. (2019) Identification of Homogeneous Rainfall Zones during Grain Crops in Paraná, Brazil. Engenharia Agrícola, 39, 707-714. https://doi.org/10.1590/1809-4430-eng.agric.v39n6p707-714/2019
Detzer, J., Loikith, P.C., Pampuch, L.A., Mechoso, C.R., Barkhordarian, A. and Lee, H. (2019) Characterizing Monthly Temperature Variability States and Associated Meteorology across Southern South America. International Journal of Climatology, 40, 492-508. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.6224
Loikith, P.C., Pampuch, L.A., Slinskey, E., Detzer, J., Mechoso, C.R. and Barkhordarian, A. (2019) A Climatology of Daily Synoptic Circulation Patterns and Associated Surface Meteorology over Southern South America. Climate Dynamics, 53, 4019-4035. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-019-04768-3
Jackson, I.J. and Weinand, H. (1995) Classification of Tropical Rainfall Stations: A Comparison of Clustering Techniques. International Journal of Climatology, 15, 985-994. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.3370150905
Roushangar, K. and Alizadeh, F. (2018) A Multiscale Spatio-Temporal Framework to Regionalize Annual Precipitation Using k-Means and Self-Organizing Map Technique. Journal of Mountain Science, 15, 1481-1497.
Miranda, B.G., Negri, R.G. and Pampuch, L.A. (2023) Using Clustering Algorithms and GPM Data to Identify Spatial Precipitation Patterns over Southeastern Brazil. Atmósfera, 37, 365-381. https://doi.org/10.20937/ATM.53155
Everitt, B.S., Landau, S., Leese, M. and Stahl, D. (2011) Cluster Analysis. 5th Edition, Wiley Series in Probability and Statistics, Wiley, Hoboken. https://doi.org/10.1002/9780470977811
Webb, A.R. and Copsey, K.D. (2011) Statistical Pattern Recognition. 3rd Edition, John Wiley & Sons, Hoboken. https://doi.org/10.1002/9781119952954
Theodoridis, S. and Koutroumbas, K. (2008) Pattern Recognition. 4th Edition, Academic Press, Cambridge.
Lloyd, S. (1982) Least Squares Quantization in PCM. IEEE Transactions on Information Theory, 28, 129-137. https://doi.org/10.1109/TIT.1982.1056489
Kohonen, T. (2001) Self-Organizing Maps. Springer, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-56927-2
Rousseeuw, P.J. (1987) Silhouettes: A Graphical Aid to the Interpretation and Validation of Cluster Analysis. Journal of Computational and Applied Mathematics, 20, 53-65. https://doi.org/10.1016/0377-0427(87)90125-7
Calinski, T. and Harabasz, J. (1974) A Dendrite Method for Cluster Analysis. Communications in Statistics, 3, 1-27. https://doi.org/10.1080/03610927408827101
Davies, D.L. and Bouldin, D.W. (1979) A Cluster Separation Measure. IEEE Transactions on Pattern Analysis and Machine Intelligence, PAMI-1, 224-227. https://doi.org/10.1109/TPAMI.1979.4766909
Hersbach, H. and Dee, D. (2016) ERA5 Reanalysis Is in Production. ECMWF Newsletter No. 147, 7.
Muñoz-Sabater, J., Dutra, E., Agustí-Panareda, A., Albergel, C., Arduini, G., Balsamo, G., Boussetta, S., Choulga, M., Harrigan, S., Hersbach, H., Martens, B., Miralles, D.G., Piles, M., Rodríguez-Fernández, N.J., Zsoter, E., Buontempo, C. and Thépaut, J.-N. (2021) ERA5-Land: A State-of-the-Art Global Reanalysis Dataset for Land Applications. Earth System Science Data, 13, 4349-4383. https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-13-4349-2021
Harris, I., Osborn, T.J., Jones, P., et al. (2020) Version 4 of the CRU TS Monthly High-Resolution Gridded Multivariate Climate Dataset. Scientific Data, 7, Article No. 109. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-020-0453-3
Xie, P., Chen, M., Yang, S., Yatagai, A., Hayasaka, T., Fukushima, Y. and Liu, C. (2007) A Gauge-Based Analysis of Daily Precipitation over East Asia. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 8, 607-626. https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM583.1