A Software Package Generating Long Term and Near Real Time Predictions of the Critical Frequencies of the F2 Layer over Europe and Its Applications

Abstract

Long term prediction and near real time (nowcasting) maps of the critical frequency of the F2 layer ( fo F2), over the geographic area extending in latitude from 34 ° N to 60 ° N and in longitude from -5 ° W to 40 ° E, have been provided since 2006 by the DIAS (European Digital Upper Atmosphere Server) system. This work describes the software package PRODUCTION_DATABASE_foF 2 & Extract_Real_Time_Grid_foF 2 constituted by two original software packages called PRODUCTION_ DATABASE_foF 2 and Extract_Real_Time_Grid_foF 2 which have been developed in the framework of the ESA SSA Programme P2-SWE-1, in order to provide numerical grids of fo F2 prediction on a mapping area more extended than that offered by the DIAS both in latitude (from 34 ° N to 80 ° N) and in longitude (from -10 ° W to 40 ° E). PRODUCTION_DATABASE_foF 2, by means of the CCIR and SIRM models, provides a database of long term predictions of fo F2 for all the months and the solar activities characterized by the 12-month smoothed mean value of the monthly sunspots number (R 12 ) ranged between -50 and 150 with step = 1. On the basis of two effective sunspots numbers, R 12eff_Northern and R 12eff_Southern , which are calculated each hour using the fo F2 autoscaled values provided by some reference stations, Extract_Real_Time_Grid_foF 2 extracts from the database of long term predictions of fo F2 the numerical grids representing the near real time ionospheric conditions for the hour and month under consideration. Some applications of PRODUCTION_DATABASE_foF 2 and Extract_Real_Time_Grid_foF 2 in terms of long term forecast and nowcasting maps of fo F2 are shown and their usefulness is discussed.