The Principles of the Seaborne Trade and the Determining Factors of the Demand for Ship Space
- 1 Department of Maritime Studies, Faculty of Maritime and Industrial Studies, University of Piraeus, Piraeus, Greece
- 2 Department of Shipping, Transport & Logistics, Business College of Athens, Athens, Greece
Abstract
We have presented the impact on Seaborne Trade of globalization, of international mobility of the Manufacturing towards the East, of the international demand for iron-ore, steel & energy, of the demography & of the global financial crisis, which took place in 2009-2018. The main components of the Seaborne Trade, i.e., exports , imports and the balance of trade, w ere analyzed in depth using quantities, and presenting them in diagrams, beginning in 2004—where an exceptional global growth started 2003 . We did not fail , however, to update our data 2011-2020 . Our quantitative contribution is considered to be the use/presentation of a simple statistical tool, (a two-variable linear regression), to test the assumed correlations between 1) GDP , 2) land area , 3) population , & 4) imports , as well as the influence of GDP on Exports . Moreover, we tested the theory that “when one country imports a lot —compared with its exports —it means… that it lacks natural endowments ”! The gifted countries/areas for exports found: the “Middle East” (as one area), Australia, Indonesia, and the “East Coast of South America”, plus 31 others 1 . Thanks God, the “gifted trading nations”, which were prone to export more , made the majority of the nations (61%) out of a total of 57 countries, which appeared in our study!
- Goulielmos, A. M. (2009). Is History Repeated? Cycles and Recession in Shipping Markets, 1929 and 2008. Shipping & Transport Logistics, 1, 329-360. https://doi.org/10.1504/IJSTL.2009.027679
- Goulielmos, A. M. (2018). Self-Reinforcing Mechanisms in Economics: With Two Case-Studies from Shipping Industry. Modern Economy, 9, 1313-1337. https://doi.org/10.4236/me.2018.97085
- Goulielmos, A. M. (2020a). Society in Front of 2 Enemies: Covid-19 & Climate Collapse/Their Impact on Shipping Industry. Modern Economy, 11, 2006-2026. https://doi.org/10.4236/me.2020.1112134
- Goulielmos, A. M. (2020b). From the Dynamics of the Population to the Application of Digital Revolution to Management of Shipping Companies. Modern Economy, 11, 1155-1175. https://doi.org/10.4236/me.2020.116084
- Goulielmos, A. M. (2023a). India’s 2023 “Economic Corridor” versus the “21st Century Chinese Maritime Silk Road”: A Modern David against a Recent Goliath? Modern Economy, 14, 1734-1757. https://doi.org/10.4236/me.2023.1412091
- Goulielmos, A. M. (2023b). The Greek Ship-Owners from the Land of the Acropolis in the Shipyards of the Rising Sun: A Case-Study of Cooperation (1952-2022) and in the Shipyards of the Land of the Morning Calm (1972-2022). Modern Economy, 14, 362-390. https://doi.org/10.4236/me.2023.144021
- Heckscher, E. F. (1950). In Flam, H. and June Flanders, M., Eds., Heckscher-Ohlin Trade Theory. Vol. 9, 2.
- Hume, D. (1752). Political Discourses. Kessinger Publishing.
- Leontief, W. (1954). Domestic Production and Foreign Trade: The American Capital Position Re-Examined. International Economy (Italy), 3, 3-32.
- Lorange, P. (2009). Shipping Strategy: Innovating for Success. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK.
- Muntean, M.-C. (2005). Analysis of the Hecksher-Ohlin Model. Annals of Dunarea de Jos University of Galati (Facsimile) (Bucuresti).
- Ohlin, B. (1933). Interregional and International Trade. Harvard University Press. https://www.abebooks.com/first-edition
- Ricardo, D. (1817). On the Principles of Political Economy & Taxation.
- Smith, A. (1776). An Inquiry into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of Nations. W. Strahan & T. Cadell, London, UK.
- Stopford, M. (2009). Maritime Economics (3rd ed.). Routledge, London, UK. https://doi.org/10.4324/9780203891742