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Elderly Population Projection and Their Health Expenditure Prospects in Japan
Co-Representative, Institution for Future Welfare, Tokyo, Japan
Musashino University, Tokyo, Japan
Hitotsubashi University, Tokyo, Japan
- 1 Co-Representative, Institution for Future Welfare, Tokyo, Japan
- 2 Musashino University, Tokyo, Japan
- 3 Hitotsubashi University, Tokyo, Japan
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Abstract
By using a dynamic micro-simulation model named INAHSIM-II, we conducted a population-household projection in Japan (INAHSIM 2017) for the period of 2015-2065. Due to rapid aging of the population, the distribution of the elderly (65 years old or older) by dependency level has a profound impact on health expenditure (namely medical expenditure and long-term care expenditure) of the elderly. In this paper, we estimated health expenditure of the elderly in 2025-2065, using the results of the projection of the elderly by dependency level.
KeywordsPopulation-Household ProjectionDependency Level of the ElderlyMedical ExpenditureLTC Expenditure
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