Spatial Distribution of Urban Transportation Capacity and Its Influencing Factors: A Case Study of Guangdong
- 1 Hong Kong and Macao Institute of Economics, Jinan University, Guangzhou, China
Abstract
Using spatial autocorrelation analysis method, the spatial and temporal evolution of the overall development of Guangdong’s transportation capacity during 2001-2016 is analyzed. There is no large displacement between high-level and low-level agglomeration areas between cities, and there is obvious path dependence. According to the development level of transportation capacity of 21 prefecture-level cities in 2010-2016, the factors affecting the development level of transportation capacity are discussed. The results show that: Guangdong’s overall transportation capacity has increased with time, and transportation resources have been concentrated in Guangzhou in recent years. Cities in the high-level transportation capacity segment and cities in the low-level transportation capacity segment are relatively fixed, and there is path dependence; transportation fixed assets investment, transportation industry employees, and economic development level improve the transportation capacity. There is a significant positive impact; government fiscal expenditure and industrial structure have a significant negative impact on transportation development, reflecting the ineffectiveness and mismatch in the process of government fiscal expenditure and the unreasonable industrial structure; population density has no obvious development of transportation capacity. As the population density increases, traffic congestion in the city will not produce a good effect on the improvement of transportation capacity.
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