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Quantifying the Microeconomic and Macroeconomic Impact of the Recent Crude Oil Price Fluctuations
Department of Industrial and Enterprise Systems Engineering, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL, USA
Department of Industrial and Enterprise Systems Engineering, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL, USA
Department of Industrial and Enterprise Systems Engineering, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL, USA
Department of Industrial and Enterprise Systems Engineering, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL, USA
Department of Industrial and Enterprise Systems Engineering, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL, USA
Department of Industrial and Enterprise Systems Engineering, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL, USA
Department of Industrial and Enterprise Systems Engineering, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL, USA
- 1 Department of Industrial and Enterprise Systems Engineering, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL, USA
- 2 Department of Industrial and Enterprise Systems Engineering, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL, USA
- 3 Department of Industrial and Enterprise Systems Engineering, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL, USA
- 4 Department of Industrial and Enterprise Systems Engineering, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL, USA
- 5 Department of Industrial and Enterprise Systems Engineering, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL, USA
- 6 Department of Industrial and Enterprise Systems Engineering, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL, USA
- 7 Department of Industrial and Enterprise Systems Engineering, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL, USA
Open Journal of Statistics·Volume 06 (2016)·Pages 605–615·Published 22 July 2016·DOI10.4236/ojs.2016.64051
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Abstract
This study analyzed the potential impact of the increased oil volatility on the industries and the global economy. Specifically, it separated the oil price fluctuations into positive and negative components, and modeled the return of industry portfolios with them. Next, the sensitivity of the airline industry to oil price was investigated to gauge the effectiveness of their hedging strategies, with the hope that the methodology can be extended to other industries. In addition, this paper explored the macroeconomic impact of oil price movements by examining the benchmarks such as GDP and CPI.
KeywordsCrude OilAirlineHedgingAsymmetric EffectsMicroeconomicsMacroeconomics
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