The Strategic Interaction between US and China on Safe Asset Issuance
- 1 School of Economics, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom
- 2 Information Research Institute, Qilu University of Technology (Shandong Academy of Sciences), Jinan, China
Abstract
I study the strategic interaction between US and China in the international monetary system and international price system from the Western perspective. Their behavior differs due to the different structures of their devaluation costs. The structure of devaluation costs of US determines that it exhibits strategic complements while the structure of devaluation costs of China determines that it exhibits strategic substitutes. It is also found that the asymmetry between the safe asset issuance of US and China at present can be explained by the devaluation costs and the probability that both countries experience disaster states. A general principle found in this paper is that what the US does hurting (benefiting) itself benefits (hurts) China, while what China does hurting (benefiting) itself hurts (benefits) US. Therefore, subject to the devaluation cost structure proposed in the model, the attempt to replace USD with RMB is not beneficial to China.
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