A Modified Arrow Learning-by-Doing Growth Model in a Ramsey-Cass-Koopmans Optimal Control Framework
- 1 Former Advisor, International Monetary Fund, Washington DC, USA
Abstract
The Solow-Swan or S-S growth model has been, and still is, the workhorse of standard neoclassical growth theory. The S-S growth model has two distinguishing features: the saving rate is an exogenously fixed constant, and all technical change is exogenous. The present paper’s growth model relaxes both features by modifying Arrow’s learning-by-doing model with endogenous technical change and embedding it in a Ramsey-Cass-Koopmans growth setup that derives an endogenously determined optimal saving rate. This optimizing framework produces empirically plausible and testable predictions about the per capita output growth effects of changes in consumer preferences, population growth, and public policies affecting the degree of learning by doing associated with the economy’s stock of capital per efficient worker. Numerical simulations indicate the model’s faster adjustment to equilibrium from an initial disequilibrium position.
- Aghion, P., & Howitt, P. (1992). A Model of Growth through Creative Destruction. Econometrica, 60, 323-351. https://doi.org/10.2307/2951599
- Arrow, K. J. (1962). The Economic Implications of Learning by Doing. The Review of Economic Studies, 29, 155-173. https://doi.org/10.2307/2295952
- Barro, R. J., & Sala-i-Martin, X. (1997). Technological Diffusion, Convergence, and Growth. Journal of Economic Growth, 2, 1-26. https://doi.org/10.1023/a:1009746629269
- Cass, D. (1965). Optimum Growth in an Aggregative Model of Capital Accumulation. The Review of Economic Studies, 32, 233-240. https://doi.org/10.2307/2295827
- Conlisk, J. (1967). A Modified Neoclassical Growth Model with Endogenous Technical Change. Southern Economic Journal, 34, 199-208. https://doi.org/10.2307/1055037
- Conlisk, J. (1971). Nonconstant Returns to Scale and the Technical Change Frontier. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 85, 483-493. https://doi.org/10.2307/1885934
- Domar, E. D. (1946). Capital Expansion, Rate of Growth, and Employment. Econometrica, 14, 137-147. https://doi.org/10.2307/1905364
- Grossman, G. M., & Helpman, E. (1990). Comparative Advantage and Long-Run Growth. American Economic Review, 80, 796-815.
- Grossman, G. M., & Helpman, E. (1991). Trade, Knowledge Spillovers, and Growth. European Economic Review, 35, 517-526. https://doi.org/10.1016/0014-2921(91)90153-a
- Harrod, R. F. (1939). An Essay in Dynamic Theory. The Economic Journal, 49, 14-33. https://doi.org/10.2307/2225181
- Inada, K. I. (1963). On a Two-Sector Model of Economic Growth: Comments and a Generalization. The Review of Economic Studies, 30, 119-127. https://doi.org/10.2307/2295809
- Knight, M., Loayza, N., & Villanueva, D. (1993). Testing the Neoclassical Theory of Economic Growth: A Panel Data Approach. Staff Papers—International Monetary Fund, 40, 512-541. https://doi.org/10.2307/3867446
- Koopmans, T. C. (1965). On the Concept of Optimal Economic Growth. In The Economic Approach to Development Planning . North-Holland Publishing Co.
- Lucas, R. E. (1988). On the Mechanics of Economic Development. Journal of Monetary Economics, 22, 3-42. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-3932(88)90168-7
- Otani, I., & Villanueva, D. (1989). Theoretical Aspects of Growth in Developing Countries: External Debt Dynamics and the Role of Human Capital. Staff Papers—International Monetary Fund, 36, 307-342. https://doi.org/10.2307/3867145