Research ArticleOpen AccessGoogle Scholar indexed
Empirical Reserve Price in Forestry: Application to US Forest Service
Ecole des Hautes études Publiques (HEP), Université de Moncton, Moncton, Canada
- 1 Ecole des Hautes études Publiques (HEP), Université de Moncton, Moncton, Canada
Theoretical Economics Letters·Volume 06 (2016)·Pages 897–906·Published 6 September 2016·DOI10.4236/tel.2016.65093
Copy link · social · email
Abstract
This article exploits data from ascending auctions from the US Forest Service to estimate an optimal reservation price in forestry when prices are uncertain and when the forest owner endogenizes the cutting age of trees. The results suggest that there is a huge gain in terms of the forest owner profit to use the estimated optimal reservation price rather the well-known reservation price proposed by Laffont and Maskin ’ s and Riley and Samuelson’s which is suboptimal in the forestry context. Finally, the results also confirm that the reservation price set by the US government agency is too low.
KeywordsReserve PriceAuctionsEstimationForestryAutoregressive Process
- Laffont, J.J. and Maskin, E. (1980) Optimal Reservation Price in the Vickrey Auction. Economics Letters, 6, 309-313. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0165-1765(80)90002-6
- Riley, J.G. and Samuelson, W.F. (1981) Optimal Auctions. The American Economic Review, 71, 381-392.
- Tatoutchoup, F.D. (2016) Theoretical Reserve Price in Forestry. Theoretical Economics Letters, 6, 761-767. http://dx.doi.org/10.4236/tel.2016.64080
- Paarsch, H.J. (1997) Deriving an Estimate of the Optimal Reserve Price: An Application to British Columbia Timbers Sale. Journal of Econometrics, 78, 333-357. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0304-4076(97)80016-4
- Li, T. and Perrigne, I. (2003) Timber Sale Auctions with Random Reserve Prices. Review of Economics and Statistics, 85, 189-200.
- Aradillas-Lopez, A., Gandhi, A. and Quint, D. (2013) Identification and Inference in Ascending Auctions with Correlated Private Values. Econometrica, 81, 489-534. http://dx.doi.org/10.3982/ECTA9431
- Baldwin, L. (1995) Risk Averse Bidders at Oral Ascending-Bid Forest Service Timber Sales. Working Paper, RAND Corporation.
- Baldwin, L., Marshall, L.R. and Richard, J.F. (1997) Bidder Collusion at Forest Service Timber Sales. Journal of Political Economy, 105, 657-699. http://dx.doi.org/10.1086/262089
- Athey, S. and Levin, J. (2001) Information and Competition in U.S. Forest Service Timber Auctions. Journal of Political Economy, 109, 375-417. http://dx.doi.org/10.1086/319558
- Haile, P. (2001) Auctions with Resale Markets: An Application to U.S. Forest Service Timber Sales. American Economic Review, 91, 399-427. http://dx.doi.org/10.1257/aer.91.3.399
- Haile, P. and Tamer, E. (2003) Inference with an Incomplete Model of English Auctions. Journal of Political Economy, 111, 1-51. http://dx.doi.org/10.1086/344801
- Athey, S., Levin, S.J. and Seira, E. (2011) Comparing Open and Sealed Bid Auctions: Evidence from Timber Auctions. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 126, 207-257. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/qje/qjq001
- United States Department of Agriculture, Forest Service. Pacific Northwest Research Station, General Technical Report PNW-GTR-857, 2011.
- Ulrich, A.H. (1988) U.S. Timber Production, Trade, Consumption and Price Statistics. 1950-86. USDA For. Serv. Misc. Publ. No. 1460. 81.